Atherosclerosis and Lipoproteins |
From the National Institute of Health and Medical Research (INSERM) Unit 258 (M.Z., P.D., D.C.), INSERM Unit 360 (C.B.), Centre de Diagnostic et de Prévention Neurovasculaire (P.-J.T.), Paris; Registre Bourguignon des Cancers Digestifs (C.B.-K.), Dijon; and Centre dexamen EVA-INSERM (C.M.), Nantes, France.
Correspondence to Mahmoud Zureik, MD, PhD, INSERM U 258, Hôpital Paul Brousse, 16 av. Paul Vaillant Couturier, 94807 Villejuif Cedex, France. E-mail zureik{at}vjf.inserm.fr
| Abstract |
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1 plaque in previously normal
carotid segments and/or the appearance of new plaques in the carotid
segments that previously had plaques. Carotid plaque occurrence was
observed in 185 subjects (18.3%). Age- and sex- adjusted odds ratios
of carotid plaque occurrence were 2.66 (95% CI 1.58 to 4.46,
P<0.001) in subjects having intermediate baseline
CCA-IMT values (quartiles 2 and 3) and 3.67 (CI 2.09 to 6.44,
P<0.001) in those having the highest baseline CCA-IMT
values (quartile 4) compared with those having the lowest baseline
CCA-IMT values (quartile 1). Multivariate adjustment
for major cardiovascular risk factors did not alter the
results. These findings were observed for men and women as well as for
subjects with and without carotid plaques at baseline. This 4-year
longitudinal study shows that CCA-IMT predicts carotid plaque
occurrence in a large sample of relatively old subjects. It extends the
findings obtained from cross-sectional studies and suggests that
increased intima-media thickness might occur in an earlier phase of the
atherosclerotic process.
Key Words: carotid arteries atherosclerosis plaque intima-media thickness longitudinal studies
| Introduction |
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However, the role of increasing CCA-IMT in the atherosclerotic process is questionable.30 CCAs are less prone to atherosclerosis than are carotid bifurcations (CBs) and internal carotid arteries (ICAs). Furthermore, varying degrees of association between CCA-IMT and of the extent and severity of coronary artery disease have been observed.30 31 32
One way to investigate the significance of increased IMT with regard to atherosclerosis is to study its relationship with confirmed atherosclerotic plaques in the same arterial system. Several cross-sectional studies have reported positive associations between CCA-IMT and the presence of plaques in the carotid arteries.19 33 34 35 36 37 38 In a previous investigation involving the Aging Vascular Study (EVA) study based on the baseline examination data, we also reported that higher CCA-IMT (measured at sites free of any discrete plaque) was related to locally detected atherosclerotic plaques in a large population of relatively aged subjects.6 However, cross-sectional results do not allow for the determination of the temporal sequence and the possible direction of the relationships that would permit prediction at the individual level. Longitudinal studies are thus needed. A possible association between CCA-IMT and the subsequent development of carotid atherosclerotic plaques could suggest that intimal-medial thickening might occur in an earlier phase of the atherosclerotic process and would provide an indirect validation for the use of increased CCA-IMT measurements as an early marker of atherosclerosis.
In the present investigation, based on the 4-year longitudinal data of the EVA study, we assessed the associations of CCA-IMT and carotid plaque occurrence during the follow-up in a population of 1010 subjects aged 59 to 71 years.
| Methods |
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Ultrasonography
Ultrasound examinations at baseline, at 2-year follow-up, and at
4-year follow-up were performed with the use of the Aloka SSD-650, with
a transducer frequency of 7.5 MHz. This system provides an axial
resolution of 0.30 mm. Acquisition, processing, and storage of
B-mode images were computer-assisted with software specially designed
for longitudinal studies (EUREQUA, France).39
Details of the protocol have been described elsewhere.6 18 At each examination, it involved scanning of the CCAs, of the CBs, and of the origin (first 2 cm) of the ICAs. All measurements were made by the sonographer at the time of examination (online), with accuracy of the electronic calipers of the instrument to the nearest 0.1 mm. The IMT was measured on the far wall of the mid and distal CCA as the distance between the lumen-intima interface and the media-adventitia interface40 by using an automated edge-detection algorithm. One transversal and 2 longitudinal measurements of IMT were completed on the right and left CCAs, and the mean of the 4 right and left longitudinal CCA-IMT measurements was used in the analysis. All measurements of CCA-IMT were made at a site free of any discrete plaques. No attempt was made to measure IMT in the CB-ICAs.
Near and far walls of all arterial segments (ie, CCA or
CB-ICA) were scanned longitudinally and transversally to assess the
presence of plaques. The presence of plaques was defined as localized
echo structures encroaching into the vessel lumen for which the
distance between the media-adventitia interface and the internal side
of the lesion was
1 mm. When a plaque was present, optimal
frozen images (1 longitudinal and 1 transversal view), showing the
plaque in its greatest thickness, were selected by the sonographer and
stored on an optical disk. When several plaques were present on the
same arterial segment, the number of plaques was
recorded, and examination was centered on the segment showing the
greatest encroachment into the lumen. In the absence of plaques, no
measurement was made in the CB-ICAs, but optimal frames (1 longitudinal
and 1 transversal) were selected and stored on the optical disk. For
each image stored at baseline or at the 2-year follow-up, a mask was
constructed. It consisted of recording the anatomic situation
of the investigated territory, the type of echographic cut, and the
orientation of the anterior lateral or posterior cuts of the ultrasound
beam in relation to the neck. The position of the head in the dorsal
decubitus position (30° or 60° toward the right or left) and the
inclination of the ultrasound bundle in relation to the neck axis were
also recorded. Using a mouse, the sonographer drew a characteristic
outline of the image frozen on the screen. Image and mask archiving
were separately stored on the optical disk.
At the 2-year examination, the sonographer recalled information from the corresponding optical disk, which had been defined at baseline examination on the right and left segments. The real-time echographic image and the fixed contours recorded during the baseline examination were superimposed upon the screen. The sonographer then produced a beam that coincided with the echographic and contour image. At the 4-year examination, masks constructed during the 2-year follow-up were recalled.
The same 4 sonographers performed ultrasound examinations at baseline, at the 2-year follow-up, and at the 4-year follow-up. For each subject, we attempted to have the 2-year and 4-year follow-up examinations performed by the sonographer who had performed the baseline examination. This was the case for 76% of the subjects.
Reproducibility of the scanning and reading procedures has been
reported elsewhere.6 Briefly, random subsamples of images
(n=81) of CCAs recorded by the 4 sonographers were sent for
measurements to a single expert sonographer (P.-J.T), who was not aware
of the measurement results obtained at the EVA Center. Agreement
between the 2 readings of CCA-IMT was good (correlation 0.82,
coefficient of variation 9.1%, mean absolute difference 0.06 mm,
and mean percent difference 8.9%). In a previous published study by
our group, it was shown that the intrasonographer and intersonographer
variabilities of CCA-IMT associated with the scanning procedure were
substantially reduced after using the repositioning functions of the
EUREQUA software.39 To study the reproducibility of plaque
detection, 75 baseline examination images of CB-ICA with plaques as
defined by the sonographers and 80 images of CB-ICA without plaques
were randomly chosen and sent to the expert sonographer to assess
blindly the presence or the absence of plaques. The
coefficients
for agreement between the 2 readings were 0.86 for longitudinal views
and 0.91 for transverse views.
Medical History and Standard Biological Procedures
Medical information, obtained at baseline examination by a
standardized questionnaire, included demographic background,
occupation, medical history, drug use, and personal habits, such as
cigarette smoking. Self-reported personal history of myocardial
infarction or angina pectoris (personal history of CHD) was also
recorded. Subjects were classified as those who had ever smoked and
nonsmokers. Two independent measurements of systolic and
diastolic blood pressure were made with a digital
electronic tensiometer (SP9 Spengler) after a 10-minute rest, and the
mean value was used in the analysis. Subjects with
systolic blood pressure
160 mm Hg or
diastolic blood pressure
95 mm Hg and/or subjects
who were using antihypertensive drugs were considered to be
hypertensive.41 Subjects who were not hypertensive (as
defined above) and who had systolic blood pressure between 140
and 159 mm Hg or diastolic blood pressure between 90
and 94 mm Hg were considered to be borderline
hypertensive.41
Hypercholesterolemia was defined as total
cholesterol level
6.2 mmol/L (2.40 g/L) or use of
lipid-lowering drugs.42 Subjects who reported a medical
history of diabetes or use of antidiabetic drugs or who had a fasting
plasma glucose level
7.0 mmol/L (1.26 g/L) were considered to be
diabetic.43 Impaired fasting glucose was defined in
nondiabetic subjects as fasting plasma glucose levels of 6.1 to
6.9 mmol/L.43 Body mass index was computed as weight
(in kilograms) divided by squared height (in meters).
Data Analysis
The occurrence of carotid plaques during the follow-up (at
2-year examination or/and at 4-year examination) was defined as the
occurrence of
1 plaque in previously normal segments (thereafter
called "appearance of plaques") and/or the occurrence of new
plaques in segments that previously had plaques (thereafter called
"increase in plaque number"). Baseline CCA-IMT was used as a
continuous as well as a categorical variable. The CCA-IMT values
were divided into 3 categories according approximately to 25th and 75th
sex-specific values (quartile 1, quartiles 2 and 3, and quartile
4). The cutoff points were 0.575 mm and 0.750 mm for
men and 0.550 mm and 0.725 mm for women. The second and third
quartiles were considered together because a preliminary
analysis indicated that similar proportions of carotid plaque
occurrence were observed in these 2 categories.
Standard procedures from the Statistical Analysis System (SAS
Institute) were used for univariate and
multivariate analyses. Distributions of plaque
occurrence according to baseline cardiovascular risk
factors and CCA-IMT categories were compared by
2 tests. Baseline
cardiovascular risk factors considered in the
analysis were body mass index, smoking habits, hypertension,
hypercholesterolemia, diabetes, and personal
history of CHD. For multivariate analyses, we
used dichotomic multiple logistic regression models, with plaque
occurrence (yes, no) as the dependent variable and items that could
play a role in plaque prediction (baseline
cardiovascular risk factors and CCA-IMT categories) as
independent variables. We preferred to present logistic
regression rather than Cox regression results because the time of
plaque occurrence was largely imprecise (there were only 2 follow-up
examinations). Nevertheless, the patterns of results obtained by Cox
regression models were very similar to those obtained by logistic
regression (data available from the authors).
Multivariate-adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% CIs of
plaque occurrence according to baseline CCA-IMT categories, independent
of baseline cardiovascular risk factors, were estimated
by a multivariate logistic regression model; the first
quartile, with the lowest values of CCA-IMT, was used as the
reference.
Subjects who were examined during the training period (between June and December 1991) were considered to have unreliable initial ultrasound examinations on the basis of interreader reproducibility studies and were systematically excluded from statistical analysis (n=235). Of the 1149 subjects with reliable baseline ultrasound measurements, 110 subjects (9.6%) did not participate in the follow-up survey, and 1039 subjects (90.4%) underwent at least 1 follow-up B-mode ultrasound examination (947 had 2 follow-up examinations, and 92 had only 1 follow-up examination). Twelve subjects with plaque in the common carotid arteries at baseline were excluded from analyses because an alteration of the arterial wall in the vicinity of a plaque is possible, and IMT was measured in the CCAs. Two subjects who underwent carotid artery surgery during follow-up and 15 subjects who apparently had regression of carotid plaque number during follow-up were also excluded from the analyses. Thus, the final sample was composed of 1010 subjects. At baseline, there were no differences between subjects who were ultimately included for analyses and those who did not participate in the follow-up survey regarding sex (59.7% versus 58.7% women, respectively; P=0.49), age (65.1±3.0 versus 64.9±3.0 years, respectively; P=0.45), and CCA-IMT (0.66±0.11 versus 0.67±0.13 mm, respectively; P=0.39). However, the prevalence of personal history of CHD (5.5% versus 10.4%, P=0.07) and that of carotid plaques at baseline (19.3% versus 30.2%, P=0.03) were lower in subjects who were included in the analyses versus those who were not. .
| Results |
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2 segments was 119, 63,
and 3, respectively.
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Baseline age was positively associated with carotid plaque occurrence.
The OR of plaque occurrence associated with a 5-year increase in age
was 1.32 (CI 1.01 to 1.72, P<0.05). Men had higher plaque
occurrence than women (23.6% versus 14.8%, respectively;
P<0.001, OR 1.78, and CI 1.29 to 2.45). Hypertension,
hypercholesterolemia, and history of ever
having smoked were also associated with higher plaque occurrence (Table 2
).
|
Baseline CCA-IMT and Carotid Plaque Occurrence During
Follow-Up
The distribution and ORs of carotid plaque occurrence associated
with quartiles of CCA-IMT are shown in Table 3
. Age- and sex- adjusted ORs of carotid
plaque occurrence were 2.66 (CI 1.58 to 4.46, P<0.001) in
subjects having the intermediate baseline CCA-IMT values (quartiles 2
and 3) and 3.67 (CI 2.09 to 6.44, P<0.001) in those having
the highest baseline CCA-IMT values (quartile 4) compared with those
having the lowest baseline CCA-IMT values (quartile 1). After
adjustment for age, sex, hypertension,
hypercholesterolemia, diabetes, smoking, and
personal history of CHD, the ORs did not markedly change (Table 3
). After further adjustment for the presence of carotid plaques
at baseline, the associations were attenuated but remained highly
significant (Table 3
). These associations were
consistently observed in men and in women (Table 3
).
|
When CCA-IMT was used as a continuous variable, multivariate ORs of plaque carotid occurrence associated with a 0.10-mm increase in CCA-IMT were 1.24 (CI 1.06 to 1.43, P<0.005) in all subjects, 1.23 (CI 1.02 to 1.51, P<0.05) in men, and 1.27 (CI 1.02 to 1.60, P<0.01) in women.
Significant associations between baseline CCA-IMT and carotid plaque
occurrence were observed in subjects with carotid plaque at baseline
and in those without (Table 4
).
These associations were stronger in subjects with carotid plaque at
baseline, although the interaction terms were not statistically
significant.
|
In subjects with carotid plaque at baseline, the multivariate-adjusted mean of baseline CCA-IMT was not different between subjects who had an appearance of plaques in previously normal segments and those who had an increase in plaque number in segments that previously had plaques (0.70±0.25 versus 0.73±0.26 mm, respectively; P=0.41).
When we defined, a posteriori, the plaques as a localized protrusion of
the vessel wall into the lumen with a thickness of
1.2 mm (or
1.5 mm) instead of
1 mm, multivariate ORs
of plaque occurrence associated with quartile 1, quartiles 2 and 3, and
quartile 4 of CCA-IMT were 1, 2.25 (P<0.01), and 2.71
(P<0.0001), respectively, with use of a 1.2-mm cutoff
(n=166 for number of subjects who had plaque occurrence) and 1, 2.29
(P<0.01), and 3.15 (P<0.0001), respectively,
with use of a 1.5-mm cutoff (n=145).
| Discussion |
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Several cross-sectional studies have reported positive associations
between carotid intima-media thickening and locally carotid
atheromatous plaques.6 19 33 34 35 36 37 38 Our
longitudinal results extend the findings of cross-sectional studies and
suggest that increased wall thickness may precede plaque formation. In
a previous longitudinal study conducted by our group that used less
sophisticated ultrasound methods, increased baseline CCA-IMT among 308
middle-aged women predicted the 2-year development of carotid
plaques.44 Compared with the previous study, the
present study was conducted in a far larger population with a
longer follow-up duration. More precise and more reliable
ultrasonographic assessments of IMT and plaque were obtained (for IMT
measurements, precision was to the nearest 0.10 mm instead of
0.25 mm, with use of mask and repositioning functions with
software specially designed for longitudinal studies). In addition,
only the presence or the absence of an intimal-medial thickening was
recorded by the sonographer in the previous study.44
In the EVA study, subjects with intermediate values of CCA-IMT,
compared with subjects with the lowest values, had a 2-fold risk of
developing carotid plaque (Table 3
), and the higher risk was not
limited to those with the highest values. These findings, if confirmed,
might provide new insight into strategies for very early prevention of
atherosclerosis in the population.
The associations of CCA-IMT with carotid plaque occurrence seemed to be more pronounced in subjects with plaques at baseline than in those without (although not having a plaque does not rule out the presence of plaque in nonvisualized segments of the carotid arterial bed). This could suggest that increased CCA-IMT is a more powerful marker of atherosclerosis in subjects with more advanced atherosclerosis. A longer period of follow-up might be needed for an increased wall thickness to predict plaque occurrence in subjects at an early step of atherosclerotic development.
An association between CCA-IMT and the development of carotid plaque does not necessarily imply that all components of increased CCA-IMT are due to atherosclerosis. First, the ultrasound technique is unable to differentiate the intimal from the medial layer, and the anatomic structure involved in the arterial wall thickening cannot be determined. Second, some intimal and medial hypertrophy could be considered to be a nonatherosclerotic adaptive response to aging and mechanical variations in the arteries.45 46 47 Third, some factors could be specifically associated with increased IMT alone or with plaque alone. In a recent report from the EVA study, we found that parental history of premature death from CHD was strongly associated with the presence of plaque in the extracranial carotid arteries but not with increased CCA-IMT.48 This suggests that heritable factors might be specifically involved in plaque formation but not in diffuse intima-media thickening.48
However, the fact that increased IMT and focal plaques share a number of common atherosclerotic risk factors suggests that they are dependent, at least in part, on the same physiopathological process. Increased IMT, rather than plaque formation, might then be an earlier response to this process. Indeed, adjustment for major cardiovascular risk factors did not modify our results, suggesting that the observed associations were largely independent of these factors, but it is obvious that a lot of unknown and, to a lesser extent, unmeasured factors are involved in the atherosclerotic process, and these factors could not be taken into account at present. For instance, low wall shear stress in the carotid arteries could be implicated as a possible common link between carotid intima-media thickening and focal plaques.49 50 51
Methodological Aspects
In the present study, we used a methodological approach that
clearly differentiates between diffuse intimal-media thickening and
plaque. IMT was measured in the mid and distal portions of the CCA on a
segment free of any focal atherosclerotic lesion, and the mean rather
than the maximum value of 4 measurements was used. Because of the
possible alteration of the arterial wall in the vicinity of
a plaque, we further excluded the few subjects who had plaques in the
CCA at baseline. Furthermore, after the exclusion of the 16 subjects
who developed plaques in the CCA during follow-up results were very
similar to those reported in the present study (data not shown).
Thus, increased IMT was likely to represent diffuse thickening
of the arterial wall rather than confirmed
atherosclerosis or eccentric thickening. IMT was
measured at the CCAs. B-mode ultrasound is a noninvasive technique that
can directly visualize and assess the wall thickness and plaque status
on several arterial segments of the carotid arteries.
However, there are large variations in IMT according to the
arterial site (ICA and CB show greater IMT than does
CCA21 52 53 ). Risk factors for
atherosclerosis and CHD were more strongly associated
with the ICA-IMT than with the CCA-IMT.54 Despite the
lesser atherosclerotic involvement of the CCA, it increasingly becomes
the site of choice for measurements of IMT. Assessment and
quantification of the IMT in the ICA and CB are far more difficult for
various technical and methodological reasons (eg, tortuosity, proximity
to the mandible, and reproducibility),53 and greater
reliability of IMT measurements from the common carotid arteries is
obtained.
Study Limitations
Our population consisted of an elderly sample of volunteers who
agreed to undergo follow-up examinations. The potential effects, on the
observed associations, of selective survival as well as self-selection
biases leading to an underrepresentation of diseased persons
could not be ruled out. In fact, the prevalence of carotid plaques at
baseline was lower than the prevalence observed in population-based
studies of aged subjects.21 38 In addition, a relatively
low prevalence of CHD at baseline was observed. The prevalence of CHD
in men and women aged 60 to 65 years was 2.5% and 9.1%, respectively,
compared with 3.7% and 13.1%, respectively, observed in the Third
French Monitoring Trends and Determinants in
Cardiovascular Disease Population Survey (P.
Ducimetière, personal communication, 1999). In spite of
the high participation rate in the follow-up survey (90%), subjects
who participated tended to have a lower prevalence of CHD and of
carotid plaques at baseline than did those who did not.
A selection bias due to the exclusion of the 15 subjects with apparent
regression of carotid plaque number might also have taken place.
However, the small number of these events, with some of them possibly
due to misclassification, prevents any adequate analysis. When
subjects with plaque regression were added to those without carotid
plaque occurrence, results were similar to those reported in Tables 3
and 4
.
A definition of plaque as a localized protrusion of the vessel wall
into the lumen with a thickness of
1 mm was used in our
protocol. Although a similar cutoff value was also used by several
other investigations,55 56 57 58 59 one could argue that this
value is relatively low and that a minor wall irregularity may be
mistakenly considered as a plaque. We do not think that our liberal
definition of plaque could explain our findings. Results of the
reproducibility study for the presence (or the absence) of plaque were
satisfactory. In addition, reanalysis of our data by use of a
more restrictive definition of plaque thickness (
1.2 or
1.5
mm) also showed a strong association between baseline CCA-IMT and the
occurrence of carotid plaques.
In conclusion, this 4-year longitudinal study shows that an increase in baseline CCA-IMT, measured at sites free of any discrete plaque, is associated with subsequent carotid plaque occurrence. Even if increased CCA-IMT and carotid plaque might be due, at least in part, to shared atherosclerotic risk factors, intima-media changes might be an earlier response to the atherosclerotic process. From a practical viewpoint, our results suggest that noninvasive B-mode ultrasonographic measurement of CCA-IMT could be considered a useful early marker of the development of the carotid atherosclerosis.
| Acknowledgments |
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Received June 9, 1999; accepted November 25, 1999.
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