Thrombosis |
From the Institute for Research in Extramural Medicine (A.J., P.J.K., G.N., J.M.D., R.J.H., L.M.B., C.D.A.S.), the Institute for Cardiovascular Research (V.W.M.v.H., C.D.A.S.), and the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics (P.J.K., L.M.B.), Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, Netherlands; Gaubius Laboratory (V.W.M.v.H., J.J.E.), TNO Prevention and Health, Leiden, the Netherlands; the Centre for Diabetes and Cardiovascular Risk (J.S.Y.), Department of Medicine, University College London Medical School, London, UK; and the Department of Internal Medicine (R.J.H., C.D.A.S.), University Hospital Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Correspondence to Dr Coen D.A. Stehouwer, Department of Internal Medicine, University Hospital Vrije Universiteit, De Boelelaan 1117, 1081 HV Amsterdam, Netherlands. E-mail cda.stehouwer{at}azvu.nl
| Abstract |
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Key Words: von Willebrand factor C-reactive protein cardiovascular mortality noninsulin-dependent diabetes mellitus acute phase reactant
| Introduction |
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Increased levels of von Willebrand factor (vWf) have been proposed to reflect generalized endothelial dysfunction.4 5 Indeed, subjects with peripheral,6 cerebral,7 and coronary artery atherosclerotic disease8 have increased levels of vWf compared with control subjects. Furthermore, high levels of vWf have been shown to predict cardiovascular mortality in patients recently presenting with cardiovascular disease.7 8 9 10 11 However, 2 population-based studies showed no significant association of high vWf levels with cardiovascular mortality.12 13
C-reactive protein (CRP), an acute-phase reactant, is a marker of inflammation. In healthy subjects, its concentration is generally low, rising 5-fold to >100-fold in acute illness. Slightly increased, but conventionally normal, CRP levels may reflect a chronic low-grade inflammatory state and have been found to be an independent predictor of cardiovascular mortality among subjects at high risk of atherothrombotic events,8 14 15 16 as well as among healthy subjects.17 18 19
Levels of both vWf20 21 and CRP22 are increased in noninsulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (NIDDM) compared with levels in control subjects. NIDDM is associated with a 2- to 4-fold increased cardiovascular mortality,23 but there are few prospective data for vWf and cardiovascular disease in NIDDM21 24 and none for CRP.
We performed a prospective population-based cohort study among nondiabetic and diabetic subjects to investigate the relation between vWf and CRP concentrations on one hand and cardiovascular and all-cause mortality on the other. A further aim of the present study was to investigate whether vWf and CRP affect the risk of mortality through similar pathways. We reasoned that if vWf and CRP confer mutually independent excess risks of mortality, this would argue in favor of the idea that vWf and CRP affect mortality risk through substantially different pathways.
| Methods |
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From these subjects, we obtained an ankle-brachial blood pressure index (n=631) and a resting ECG (n=625). Subjects were classified as having (1) peripheral arterial disease (PAD) when they had an ankle-brachial pressure index <0.9 in either leg and/or when they had undergone a peripheral arterial bypass or amputation,28 (2) ischemic heart disease (IHD) when they had an ECG with a Minnesota code 1.1 to 1.3, 4.1 to 4.3, 5.1 to 5.3, or 7.1 and/or had undergone coronary bypass surgery or angioplasty, and (3) cerebrovascular disease when they had evidence of a past transient ischemic attack or stroke according to the World Health Organization (WHO) cardiovascular questionnaire.29
vWf and CRP
Concentrations of vWf and CRP were assessed in deep frozen
(-70°C) heparin plasma samples. No plasma samples were available for
21 subjects. vWf antigen levels were estimated in duplicate by ELISA,
essentially as described,30 with the use of polyclonal
antibodies from Dako (Glostrup, Denmark), and they were expressed as
percentage of vWf detected in pooled citrated plasma of healthy
volunteers. According to the 4th International Standard for vWf in
plasma (NIBSC code 97/586), the pooled citrated plasma contained 1.03
IU/mL of vWf antigen. CRP levels were measured in duplicate with an
enzyme immune assay that used rabbit antibodies against CRP
(Dako) as both the capture and tagging antibody, with a sensitivity of
0.2 mg/L.31 CRP standard serum (Behring
Diagnostics GmbH) was used for calibration. In 11 subjects,
the CRP level was undetectable and therefore set at 0.2 mg/L.
Other Measurements
Data on blood pressure, weight, height, body mass
index, glycated hemoglobin, fasting specific plasma insulin, serum
total cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, and
triglyceride levels were obtained.25 ABO
blood groups were determined by standard agglutination techniques using
commercial test erythrocytes. LDL cholesterol was
calculated by the Friedewald formula,32 except when
the triglyceride level was >4.55 mmol/L (n=23).
Hypertension was defined as diastolic pressure
95
mm Hg, systolic pressure
160 mm Hg, and/or the use of
antihypertensive drugs.33 Current smoking was defined as
currently smoking cigarettes and/or cigars.
Follow-Up
Data on the vital status of the subjects on April 1, 1997, were
collected from the mortality register of the municipality of Hoorn. Of
49 subjects who moved out of town, information on vital status was
obtained from the new local municipalities. For each subject, we
determined whether or not death had occurred in the first 5 years of
follow-up and, if so, the date at which death occurred. For all
subjects who had died, the cause of death was classified according to
the 9th edition of the International Classification of
Diseases.26 Cardiovascular
mortality was defined as codes 390 to 459; cancer mortality, as codes
140 to 240. Information on cause of death could not be obtained for 6
(10%) of the deceased subjects.
All participants gave informed consent for the present study, which was approved by the local ethics committee.
Statistical Analyses
All analyses were performed with SPSS 7.5 for Windows
95. Survival over 5 years of follow-up was calculated by Kaplan-Meier
curves for different groups, and differences were tested by the log
rank test. Differences between groups in continuous variables that
had a normal distribution were tested by Student t tests; in
continuous variables that had a skewed distribution, by
Mann-Whitney tests; and in percentage of subjects with versus without
the presence of dichotomous variables, by
2 tests. The correlation between vWf and
log-transformed CRP was assessed with the Pearson correlation
coefficient. Predictors of 5-year cardiovascular and
all-cause mortality were determined by Cox proportional hazards
multiple regression analysis (in all cases, because of the
stratification procedure) with adjustment for age, sex, and glucose
tolerance status. Results are described as relative risks (RRs [hazard
ratios]) with 95% CIs.
Potential risk factors measured on a continuous scale were used as such in the regression models, except for HDL cholesterol and body mass index, because the association of these variables with all-cause mortality was nonlinear. Therefore, a low HDL cholesterol level was defined as a level <0.9 mmol/L34 ; obesity, as a body mass index >27 kg/m2 for men and >26 kg/m2 for women.35 Levels of fasting insulin and triglyceride were log-transformed because of a better fit of the regression model. Subjects were grouped according to levels of vWf and CRP. Subjects with levels in the highest tertile were compared with those with levels in the 2 lower tertiles. vWf and CRP were thus entered into the regression models as dichotomized variables, ie, upper tertile versus lower tertiles. (The lowest and middle tertiles were taken together because preliminary analyses showed that the RRs of mortality for these 2 lower tertiles of vWf and CRP were similar, whereas the RR for the upper tertile of vWf and CRP was increased.) To evaluate a possible effect-modifying role of potential risk factors with regard to cardiovascular or all-cause mortality, Cox regression analyses were performed with the risk factor of interest, vWf (or CRP), their product term, age, sex, and glucose tolerance status in the model. A significant RR for the product term was considered effect modification by that risk factor. To assess whether the associations of vWf and CRP with mortality were independent, regression analyses were primarily adjusted for all risk factors that were statistically significant in initial analyses, secondarily adjusted for the presence of cardiovascular morbidity, and finally adjusted for other potential risk factors of interest that showed no significant association in the initial analyses.
To investigate whether vWf and CRP affected risk of mortality through similar pathways, regression analyses were performed that included both vWf and CRP as independent variables. A 2-sided probability value of P<0.05 was considered statistically significant.
| Results |
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After 5 years of follow-up, 58 of the 631 subjects had died, of whom 24
(41%) had died of cardiovascular disease. Subjects who
died had higher levels of vWf (mean±SD) and CRP (median interquartile
range) compared with those that survived: 1.76±0.72 versus
1.33±0.68 IU/mL and 3.33 (1.36 to 6.88) versus 1.68 (0.79 to
3.35) mg/L, respectively. Table 1
shows RRs of mortality
associated with potential risk factors.
von Willebrand Factor
In the entire group, vWf levels in the upper tertile were
associated with an
4-fold increased risk of
cardiovascular mortality (Figure 1
) and, after
adjustment for age, sex, and glucose tolerance status, with an
3-fold increased risk (Table 2
). After
further adjustment for hypertension, current smoking, low level of HDL
cholesterol, level of triglyceride, IHD, and
PAD, the RR associated with vWf was 3.04 (Table 2
). Subgroup
analyses in nondiabetic and diabetic subjects showed that vWf
was associated with a 4-fold and 2-fold increased risk of
cardiovascular death, respectively, after correction
for age, sex, and impaired glucose tolerance (Table 2
). Further
adjustment increased the RR associated with vWf to 11.83 among
nondiabetic subjects, whereas the RR among diabetic subjects remained
2.51 (Table 2
).
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The RR of all-cause mortality associated with vWf in the upper tertile
was 2.03, which was not affected by adjustment (Table 2
).
To investigate whether the RR of vWf was similar among different risk groups, we performed analyses with interaction terms added (see Methods). Impaired glucose tolerance, NIDDM, current smoking, levels of triglyceride and total cholesterol, body mass index, IHD, and PAD showed no significant interaction (for interaction term, P>0.2). The RRs of cardiovascular mortality associated with vWf in the upper tertile among women, in subjects >65 years of age, and in the presence of hypertension or low levels of HDL cholesterol were 12.3 (P=0.03), 6.5 (P=0.07), 5.0 (P=0.12), and 4.5 (P=0.10) times higher, respectively, than when these factors were absent (data not shown).
The hypothesis has been advanced that the ABO blood group could be the
explanation for the association between vWf level and
cardiovascular mortality, because blood groups are
associated with both cardiovascular disease and levels
of vWf.36 The prevalences of blood groups O, A, B, and AB
were 45%, 39%, 11%, and 6%. After adjustment for age, sex, and
glucose tolerance status, blood group non-O was associated with a
2-fold increased cardiovascular mortality compared with
blood group O (RR 2.08 [95% CI 0.85 to 5.07] among all subjects).
Additional adjustment for risk factors mentioned in Table 2
did
not materially change this result (data not shown). The levels of vWf
were significantly lower in blood group O compared with blood group
non-O (mean±SD 1.16±0.58 and 1.49±0.72 IU/mL, respectively;
P<0.05). The RRs of cardiovascular
mortality associated with vWf level and blood group non-O were not
importantly affected by mutual adjustment (eg, for model 1 in Table 2
, RRs 3.02 [1.22 to 7.53] and 1.77 [0.72 to 4.38],
respectively). Further adjustment for risk factors mentioned in Table 2
gave similar results (data not shown). Analyses
performed among blood group O and blood group non-O separately gave
similar results (eg, for model 1 in Table 2
, RRs 2.01 [0.42 to
9.51] and 3.28 [1.05 to 10.25] among all subjects,
respectively).
C-Reactive Protein
In the entire group, CRP levels in the upper tertile were
associated with an
3-fold increased risk of
cardiovascular mortality (Figure 2
) and, after
adjustment for age, sex, and glucose tolerance status, with an
2-fold increased risk (Table 3
). After
further adjustment for hypertension, current smoking, low level of HDL
cholesterol, triglyceride level, IHD, and PAD,
the RR associated with CRP was 1.41 (Table 3
). The RRs of
cardiovascular mortality associated with CRP in the
upper tertile were similar among nondiabetic and diabetic subjects
(
2-fold). After further adjustment, the RR of CRP decreased to 0.83
among nondiabetic and to 1.34 among diabetic subjects (Table 3
).
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CRP was a significant predictor of all-cause mortality after adjustment
for age, sex, and glucose tolerance status in the entire group (Table 3
). After adjustment for other risk factors, the RR decreased
from 1.88 to 1.33 (Table 3
).
Impaired glucose tolerance, NIDDM, hypertension, current smoking, low levels of HDL cholesterol, levels of triglyceride and total cholesterol, body mass index, IHD, and PAD showed no significant interaction (for interaction term, P>0.2). The RRs of cardiovascular mortality associated with CRP in the upper tertile among women and subjects older than 65 years were, respectively, 3.6 (P=0.18) and 6.5 (P=0.13) times higher than those among men and subjects aged <65 years (data not shown).
Additional Analyses
The correlation between vWf and log-transformed CRP in the entire
group was 0.10 (P=0.014). The RRs of
cardiovascular mortality associated with vWf and CRP in
their respective upper tertiles were not importantly affected by mutual
adjustment (Table 4
). Further adjustment
also did not materially affect the results (Table 4
). vWf and
CRP showed no mutual interaction (for interaction term,
P=0.99).
|
Twenty-six (45%) of the subjects died of cancer. After adjustment for age, sex, and glucose tolerance status, both vWf and CRP were not significantly associated with risk of cancer mortality (RRs 1.50 [0.67 to 3.34] and 1.23 [0.54 to 2.82], respectively).
Because the RRs of mortality were similar in the lower tertiles of
either vWf or CRP and increased in the upper tertile only, we further
investigated whether there was a threshold value of vWf and CRP for
predicting mortality by changing the definitions of a "high" vWf
and CRP concentration. When vWf was dichotomized as with 1.22 IU/mL
(median) or 1.74 IU/mL (highest quartile) as cutoffs, the risk
estimates for cardiovascular mortality were slightly
lower (eg, for model 1 in Table 2
, RRs 2.36 [0.93 to 5.99] and
2.63 [1.16 to 5.98] compared with 2.80 [1.18 to 6.66],
respectively). When CRP was dichotomized with 2.11 mg/L (used in
Reference 1818 ), 3.20 mg/L (used in Reference 1717 ), or 3.60 mg/L (used in
Reference 1515 ) as cutoffs, the RR of cardiovascular
mortality was lower (eg, for model 1 in Table 3
, RRs 1.35 [0.56
to 3.22], 1.93 [0.85 to 4.41], and 1.58 [0.68 to 3.64] compared
with 2.23 [0.95 to 5.21], respectively). Exclusion of subjects with
vWf level <0.50 IU/mL (n=39) or of subjects with CRP level >10.0 mg/L
gave similar results (data not shown). Analyses with a shorter
follow-up duration showed higher RRs of cardiovascular
mortality associated with vWf and CRP levels in their respective upper
tertiles. For example, after adjustment for age, sex, and glucose
tolerance status, the RRs for vWf and CRP in the first 3 years of
follow-up were 4.02 (1.09 to 14.93) and 4.46 (1.14 to 17.41); for 3 to
5 years of follow-up, the values were 1.86 (0.55 to 6.37) and 1.15
(0.32 to 4.10), respectively. The difference between these risk
estimates (the first 3 years compared with 3 to 5 years of follow-up)
was not significant (P=0.40 and P=0.15,
respectively).
| Discussion |
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Our finding that vWf is an independent predictor of cardiovascular mortality is in line with results of some7 8 9 10 11 but not all studies.11 12 13 37 38 39 To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study that provides evidence for an independent association of vWf with cardiovascular mortality in the general population. The precise mechanism by which vWf increases cardiovascular risk is unclear. It has been suggested that vWf is a marker of generalized endothelial dysfunction,4 5 which is an important feature of atherothrombotic disease.1 2 3 Alternatively, it has been hypothesized that vWf, as an acute-phase reactant,40 reflects endothelial activation and stimulation (without necessarily implying endothelial dysfunction) and, as such, is a marker of more severe disease in general. Accordingly, the ECAT study (Juhan-Vague et al41 ) showed that among subjects with angina pectoris, the independent RR of cardiovascular mortality associated with vWf disappeared after adjustment for variables related to inflammation, ie, CRP and/or fibrinogen. In other words, the risk predicted by vWf was explained by the risk predicted by CRP and/or fibrinogen. In contrast, we found that mutual adjustment of vWf and CRP did not materially change the risk estimates, suggesting different mechanisms through which vWf and CRP predict mortality. Finally, vWf plays an important role not only in platelet adhesion and aggregation but also in coagulation42 43 and may thus enhance the risk of thrombogenesis. Accordingly, the increase of vWf within 48 hours after a myocardial infarction was a predictor of the rate of restenotic cardiovascular events within 14 days, whereas the increase of CRP, as a marker of acute-phase response, was not.44 Our finding that the RR of mortality associated with vWf is strongest in the first few years of follow-up is compatible with the view that vWf is related more to atherothrombotic than to atherosclerotic disease. In sum, our data are consistent with the concept that a high vWf level, in the general diabetic and nondiabetic population, is a marker of generalized endothelial dysfunction and/or a prothrombotic state but not with the view that a high vWf level reflects an acute-phase response.
Slightly increased levels of CRP have been found to be associated with
increased cardiovascular risk in subjects with angina
pectoris8 14 15 and in healthy
subjects.17 18 19 It has been hypothesized that a chronic
low-grade bacterial infection, which can cause raised CRP levels within
the normal range and is associated with coronary heart
disease,45 46 is the mechanism through which CRP predicts
cardiovascular mortality.18 19 On the
other hand, CRP itself has bioactive properties that may
counterregulate the inflammatory response.46 47 48
Nevertheless, these anti-inflammatory properties have been found only
in studies using concentrations of CRP above the conventional normal
range and may thus be less important for slightly increased levels of
CRP. We found that high CRP levels were associated with a 2-fold
increased risk of cardiovascular mortality. This result
is in partial agreement with previous studies among apparently healthy
subjects.16 17 18 19 First, in contrast to previous
studies,17 18 19 we showed that the association of CRP with
cardiovascular mortality was to a large extent
explained by other risk factors (Table
5). Second, we found that the RR of
mortality for CRP was stronger in the first few years of follow-up,
whereas Ridker et al18 found that this risk was stable in
time, at least up to 8 years of follow-up. Third, we did not find a
linear association of CRP level with mortality, whereas others
did.18 19 Fourth, although we did find evidence for a
stronger association of CRP with mortality risk among women and among
subjects aged >65 years, we could not demonstrate interactions, with
regard to mortality risk, between CRP and current
smoking,16 49 total cholesterol
levels,50 or IHD.16 Fifth, the determinants
of CRP that we found (Table 1
) were in line with
some51 but not all previous studies.17 Taken
together, these data suggest that the association between CRP and
cardiovascular mortality differs between populations.
This hypothesis requires further study.
We observed similar associations of vWf and CRP with RR of cardiovascular mortality among nondiabetic and diabetic subjects. NIDDM is associated with a 2- to 4-fold increase of cardiovascular mortality.23 Various hypotheses have been put forward to explain the mechanism through which diabetes accelerates atherothrombosis. Potential glucose-mediated mechanisms include increased oxidative stress, increased concentrations of advanced glycation end products, and activation of the diacylglycerolprotein kinase C pathway,5 52 which can directly or indirectly induce endothelial dysfunction, an acute phase response, and a procoagulant state.5 52 In other words, the associations of vWf and CRP with cardiovascular mortality could be different between diabetic and nondiabetic subjects, because the underlying pathophysiological conditions that cause increased levels of vWf and CRP might be dissimilar. However, from our data, it seems that once levels of vWf and CRP are increased, their associations with cardiovascular mortality are similar among diabetic and nondiabetic subjects.
As has been shown previously, we found higher RRs of mortality associated with vWf12 53 among women than among men. Furthermore, vWf was a stronger predictor in subjects aged >65 years and in the presence of hypertension or a low level of HDL cholesterol. We could neither prove nor disprove the presence of interaction between vWf and these last 3 variables; therefore, more comprehensive studies are necessary to address these issues.
The levels of vWf and CRP were both measured once, which may have led to nondifferential misclassification and, therefore, an underestimation of the RRs associated with mortality. The present study was too limited to assess, with much precision, above what threshold vWf and CRP are associated with mortality. Furthermore, a longer follow-up duration is necessary to establish or exclude definitively the existence of time dependence in the associations of vWf and CRP with mortality risk. Although our data support the concept that levels of vWf and CRP predict cardiovascular mortality through different pathophysiological mechanisms, we did not investigate these possible mechanisms.
We have shown that the level of vWf is a strong independent predictor of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in the general population, whereas the association of CRP with mortality is confounded by other risk factors. The risk estimates of cardiovascular mortality associated with vWf and CRP were mutually independent, suggesting that vWf and CRP predict mortality through different pathways. This, along with our finding that the risk predicted by vWf seems time dependent (stronger in the first few years of follow-up), gives support to the hypothesis that vWf is more likely to be a marker of risk for atherothrombotic than for atherosclerotic disease. From a therapeutic point of view, this is of clinical relevance, because antithrombotic agents have been shown to reduce the risk of a first myocardial infarction54 and to provide a favorable outcome after a myocardial infarction.44 Therefore, we suggest that the use of antithrombotic agents among subjects with high vWf levels might be particularly effective in reducing the risk of myocardial infarction. Randomized clinical trials are necessary to investigate this hypothesis.
| Acknowledgments |
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Received February 18, 1999; accepted May 28, 1999.
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