Atherosclerosis and Lipoproteins |
From the Division of Clinical Epidemiology (L.M., S.M.H.), Department of Medicine, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio; the Department of Medicine (L.M., J.K., M.L.), University of Kuopio, Kuopio, Finland; and the Department of Epidemiology (M.A.A.), School of Public Health and Community Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle.
| Abstract |
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Key Words: lipoproteins LDL coronary heart disease epidemiology prospective study
| Introduction |
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Recently, 3 prospective, case-control studies showed that decreased LDL size, as characterized by gradient gel electrophoresis, is a predictor of CHD in middle-aged subjects.10 11 12 In the Stanford Five-City Project,10 LDL size was associated with CHD risk independently of triglyceride, HDL cholesterol, and non-HDL cholesterol levels, but not after adjusting for the ratio of total cholesterol to HDL cholesterol. In the Physicians Health Study,11 LDL particle diameter was also associated with the risk of myocardial infarction (MI), but not after adjustment for triglyceride level. Results of the Québec Cardiovascular Study12 were, however, not as straightforward as those in the other 2 studies. The mean LDL size was not different in men who developed CHD compared with men who were healthy, but the frequency distribution of LDL particle sizes was shifted toward smaller particles in men who developed CHD.12 Men in the first tertile of LDL size distribution had an increased risk of CHD compared with those in the highest tertile, independently of triglyceride and HDL cholesterol levels.
Little is known about LDL size and CHD risk in the elderly. Previously, we have shown that a predominance of small LDL particles is a risk factor for the future development of type 2 diabetes in elderly subjects, which might imply that decreased LDL size contributes to the risk of CHD in prediabetics.13 It is not known whether decreased LDL size is mainly associated with premature CHD or whether it continues to play a role in CHD risk at older ages also. Therefore, we investigated the relationship of LDL size and LDL subclass phenotype to the risk of CHD over a 3.5-year follow-up in a nested case-control sample of Finnish white men and women 65 to 74 years old. Because our previous results showed that type 2 diabetes is a strong risk factor for CHD in elderly subjects14 and that decreased LDL particle size predicts type 2 diabetes in the elderly,13 we matched the cases and controls for diabetes status. Previous studies on the association of LDL size with CHD have not controlled for the effect of diabetes.
| Methods |
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Baseline Data Collection
Body mass index (BMI, kg/m2), waist-to-hip
ratio, supine blood pressure, and smoking were recorded as
previously described.14 Previously diagnosed diabetes was
considered to be present if the diagnosis had been made earlier by
a physician.15 The World Health Organization plasma
glucose criteria for diabetes were used in the classification of
subjects without previously diagnosed diabetes.17
Diagnosis of CHD at Baseline
A conventional 12-lead resting ECG was recorded, and the
classification of all ECGs was made according to the Minnesota
code.18 Previous MI was defined as present if a
subject had had a possible or definite MI verified at the hospital by
WHO criteria19 before the baseline examination or if there
was a major Q-wave (Minnesota code 1.1 or 1.2) on ECG at baseline.
Diagnosis of Incident CHD Events
A conventional 12-lead ECG was taken at the follow-up study
visit, and ECG findings were classified according to the Minnesota
code.18 Medical records of participants who reported
hospitalization because of symptoms suggestive of MI during the
follow-up and medical records of all nonparticipants and those who
died during the follow-up were reviewed. FINMONICA AMI Register Study
Group criteria19 20 for verified and possible MI, based on
chest pain symptoms, ECG changes, and enzyme determinations, were used
in the ascertainment of a new MI. All death certificates of those who
died during follow-up were reviewed. Hospital and autopsy records
were used in the final classification of the causes of death. All
deaths were coded according to the 9th revision of the International
Classification of Diseases (ICD9).
A CHD death was defined as a death resulting from CHD (ICD9 codes 410 through 414). For participants, a new nonfatal MI during follow-up was defined as follows: (1) a definite or possible MI verified at the hospital by FINMONICA criteria or (2) a new major Q-QS change on the ECG (progression from no Minnesota Q-QS code to 1.1 or 1.2, or from 1.3 to 1.1). For nonparticipants, a new nonfatal MI was defined as a definite or possible MI verified at the hospital by FINMONICA criteria. All CHD events included CHD deaths and nonfatal MIs. If a subject had >1 CHD event during follow-up, only 1 CHD event was included in the statistical analyses.
Pairing Procedures
For this nested case-control design, only the 1144 subjects
without a previous MI at baseline were eligible. A total of 58
nondiabetic and 28 type 2 diabetic subjects either had a nonfatal MI or
died of CHD during follow-up. The 86 incident cases of CHD included 67
first events of MI and 19 CHD deaths. For this analysis, each
subject with incident CHD (case subjects) was matched with 2 control
subjects with respect to sex and diabetes.
Laboratory Methods at Baseline
Blood samples were taken between 7:30 and 9:30 AM
after a 12-hour fast. All subjects, except for those receiving insulin,
underwent a 2-hour (75-g) oral glucose tolerance test. Plasma glucose
was determined by the glucose oxidase method (Glucose Auto & Stat
HGA-1120 analyzer, Daiichi). Plasma insulin was
determined by a double-antibody, solid-phase radioimmunoassay
(Phadeseph insulin RIA 100, Pharmacia Diagnostics AB),
which also detects proinsulin and proinsulin conversion products
with considerable sensitivity. The interassay coefficient of variation
for the insulin assay was <8.7%.
Serum lipid and lipoprotein levels were determined from fresh samples drawn after a 12-hour overnight fast. Serum HDL cholesterol was determined after precipitation of LDL and VLDL with dextran sulfate and MgCl2.21 Commercial enzymatic methods were used in the determination of cholesterol and triglycerides as described before.14 Serum apolipoprotein (apo) B and apoA1 were determined from samples stored at -70°C by a commercial immunochemical method (Kone Diagnostics) that was based on the measurement of immunoprecipitation at 340 nm.22 Apolipoprotein measurements were standardized with a calibrator. The interassay coefficient of variation was <3.8% for total cholesterol, <4.9% for HDL cholesterol, <2.5% for triglyceride, <5.2% for apoB, and <4.7% for apoA1.
Characterization of LDL Subclasses
Serum samples used for characterizing LDL subclasses were also
collected at baseline after a 12-hour fast and stored at -70°C for
an average of 6.4 years (range 67 to 92 months). They were transported
to Seattle on dry ice and were never thawed until gradient gel
electrophoresis procedures were performed. Several studies have
suggested that freezing samples does not alter their LDL
phenotype.23 24 25 LDL subclasses were characterized
by use of 2% to 14% polyacrylamide gels and electrophoresis
procedures in Dr Austins laboratory as previously
described.13 Two gels were electrophoresed for each
case-control triplet: 1 using whole serum and another using isolated
LDL as previously described.13 A set of
high-molecular-weight standards was also run on each gel and was used
to construct a quadratic calibration curve for estimating the diameter
of LDL subclasses as previously described.26 In addition,
2 quality control samples with well-characterized LDL subclass
phenotypes were run on each gel. Each gel lane was scanned with
a QuickScan densitometer (Helena Laboratories) interfaced with a
personal computer via an analog-to-digital converter and the Hoefer
GS365 data system.
Gradient gel electrophoresis data were processed with software developed in Dr Austins laboratory (Gel Scan Calibration Program) as previously described.13 The estimated diameter for the major peak in each scan was called the peak particle diameter and was used as a continuous variable in statistical analyses. Then 3 evaluators independently classified the LDL subclass phenotype as phenotype A, B, or I (intermediate) as previously described.13 For statistical analyses requiring a dichotomous variable, phenotype I subjects were grouped with those with phenotype B.5
The results presented here are based on analyses of LDL size determined from whole-serum samples. Results were essentially similar when LDL size was determined from isolated LDL samples (data not shown). Correlation between LDL particle sizes determined from whole serum and isolated LDL samples was 0.91 (P<0.001).
Statistical Analysis
Data analyses were performed with SPSS/PC+
(SPSS Inc) and SAS (SAS Institute) statistical software.
Comparisons of mean values between groups at baseline were made with
Students t test. Analyses of categorical
variables were performed with a
2 test.
Conditional logistic regression analysis and calculation of
relative risk were used to assess the association between risk factors
at baseline and incident CHD events. The risk of CHD associated with
each continuous variable was standardized as the relative risk of
CHD for a 1-SD increase in the concentration of the variable.
Interaction terms involving smoking, systolic blood pressure,
and apoB were also evaluated in the multivariate
conditional logistic regression analysis, but no significant
(P>0.280) interactions were detected. Because the
distributions of insulin and triglyceride were skewed, the
natural logarithms of these variables were used in all
calculations. However, these variables are reported in their
natural units in the tables.
Power Calculations
We calculated the power of the present study to detect
differences in LDL particle size and proportion of LDL
phenotype B between controls and CHD cases by using a 2-sided
test for a 2-sample normal distribution with equal
variances27 and a 2-sided test for a 2-sample binomial
distribution,28 respectively. The minimum detectable
difference in LDL particle size was 3.4 Å (268.5 versus 265.1 Å) for
172 control subjects and 86 CHD cases with 80% power (
=0.05). The
minimum detectable difference in the proportion of subjects with LDL
phenotype B was 16.8 percentage points (21.5% versus 38.3%)
with 80% power (
=0.05).
| Results |
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Table 2
shows baseline LDL particle size
and the proportion of subjects with LDL subclass phenotype B in
nondiabetic and diabetic CHD cases and controls. There were no
significant differences in LDL particle size or the proportion of
subjects with phenotype B between nondiabetic or diabetic CHD
cases and controls. Diabetic subjects had a significantly smaller LDL
particle size (263.6 versus 270.7 Å, P<0.001) and a higher
prevalence of LDL phenotype B (39.3% versus 12.6%,
P<0.001) than did nondiabetic subjects. Even after
adjustment for sex and triglyceride concentration (266.1
versus 269.5 Å, P<0.001) or for sex and
triglyceride and HDL cholesterol concentrations
(266.4 versus 269.4 Å, P=0.001), diabetic subjects
continued to have a smaller LDL particle size compared with nondiabetic
subjects. Further comparisons between cases and controls were done
after pooling nondiabetic and diabetic subjects.
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Table 3
shows baseline
cardiovascular risk factors in all cases and controls.
Smoking was twice as common among subjects who had a subsequent CHD
event compared with controls. Cases also had a higher systolic
blood pressure and apoB levels at baseline compared with controls.
However, subjects who had a CHD event did not differ from controls in
regard to baseline levels of diastolic blood pressure,
total cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, total
cholesterolHDL cholesterol ratio,
triglycerides, or apoA1. Altogether,
34% of the cases and controls were taking antihypertensive medication.
LDL particle size and the proportion of subjects with LDL subclass
phenotype B were similar among cases and controls. As shown in
the Figure
, the frequency distribution of
LDL particle size was also similar in CHD cases and controls
(
2 P=0.607).
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The magnitude of the associations between risk factors and CHD was
estimated by calculating univariate relative risks by using
conditional logistic regression analysis (Table 4
). Statistically significant risk
factors for CHD were smoking and increased levels of systolic
blood pressure and apoB. Smoking was related to a 2.6-fold risk of CHD.
A 1-SD increase in baseline systolic blood pressure (24
mm Hg) or apoB level (0.28 g/L) was associated with a 40% increased
risk of CHD. Furthermore, a 1-SD increase in the total
cholesterolHDL cholesterol ratio (1.77 units)
was related to a 28% increase in CHD risk (P=0.068), and a
1-SD increase in HDL cholesterol level (0.31 mmol/L)
was related to a 20% decrease in CHD risk (P=0.091), but
these associations did not reach statistical significance. An increase
in BMI or triglyceride level (logarithmically transformed)
was also related to a 20% increase in relative risk for CHD, although
neither of these associations was statistically significant. Age,
waist-to-hip ratio, waist circumference, fasting glucose, fasting
insulin, diastolic blood pressure, total
cholesterol, apoA1, LDL size, and LDL
subclass phenotype were not related to CHD risk.
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We also investigated the relationship between LDL subclass
phenotypes and cardiovascular risk factors
after pooling cases and controls (Table 5
). Subjects with LDL subclass
phenotype B had a significantly higher waist-to-hip ratio,
lower HDL cholesterol levels, a higher total
cholesterolHDL cholesterol ratio, and higher
triglyceride, apoB, fasting glucose, and fasting insulin
levels compared with subjects with phenotype A. Moreover, the
proportion of subjects with type 2 diabetes was 2.4-fold greater in
subjects with phenotype B compared with subjects with
phenotype A. Thus, LDL subclass phenotype B was
associated with multiple adverse changes in
cardiovascular risk factors in these elderly subjects,
although it was not related to the risk of CHD in the case-control
comparison.
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Finally, we performed a stepwise conditional logistic regression
analysis to investigate which risk factors were independently
associated with CHD risk (Table 6
).
Independent variables tested in the model included age, current
smoking, systolic blood pressure, total
cholesterolHDL cholesterol ratio, log
triglyceride, apoB, and LDL size. In this
multivariate analysis, smoking, total
cholesterolHDL cholesterol ratio, and
systolic blood pressure were significant independent risk
factors for CHD. When total cholesterol and HDL
cholesterol concentrations were tested as independent
variables instead of their ratio in a stepwise conditional logistic
regression analysis, smoking, systolic blood pressure,
and apoB were significant independent risk factors for CHD (data not
shown).
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| Discussion |
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What could be the explanation for these apparently conflicting results? First, survival bias could explain the lack of association between LDL size and CHD in the present study. Because our study population was 65 to 74 years old, they represented survivors of their cohort. If small LDL size is mainly related to premature CHD death, then the association between LDL size and CHD would be expected to be weaker in this age group. Furthermore, the proportion of subjects with LDL phenotype B in our study population was relatively low compared with the Québec Cardiovascular Study12 and the Physician Health Study11 populations. This may support the survival bias hypothesis. On the other hand, the relatively low prevalence of LDL phenotype B in our study population also reflects the LDL phenotype distribution in the Finnish population. We have previously shown29 that the mean LDL size in healthy, middle-aged, Finnish men is relatively large (26.9 nm). However, Finnish subjects are not unique in this sense, since the population in the Stanford Five-City Project10 also had an equally large mean LDL size. Ethnic and lifestyle factors might contribute to the differences in LDL sizes as well as to the differences in the risk of CHD associated with decreased LDL size in various populations. The relatively small proportion of subjects with LDL phenotype B tends to decrease the power of the present study to detect associations with this phenotype when a dichotomous approach is used. This is less of an issue when LDL size is represented as a continuous variable.
Second, diabetes status is a major confounding factor in the association between LDL size and CHD. Type 2 diabetes is associated both with small, dense LDL30 31 32 33 and with an increased risk of CHD events34 in middle-aged subjects. The association between diabetes and small LDL size has consistently been found to be independent of triglyceride concentration.31 32 33 Because our previous results showed that type 2 diabetes is a strong risk factor for CHD in elderly subjects also14 and that decreased LDL particle size predicts type 2 diabetes in the elderly,13 we matched the cases and controls for diabetes in the present study. Furthermore, the proportion of subjects with impaired glucose tolerance was similar among nondiabetic cases and controls. Thus, we fully controlled for the effect of glucose tolerance status in the present study. In contrast, in 2 of the previous studies,11 12 the prevalence of type 2 diabetes was markedly higher among CHD cases: 15% versus 1% in the Québec Cardiovascular Study12 and 6% versus 4% in the Physicians Health Study.11 The report of the Stanford Five-City Project10 did not have data on diabetes status among cases and controls. The report of the Québec Cardiovascular Study12 revealed that exclusion of diabetic individuals did not affect the relationship between dense LDL phenotype and the risk of CHD, although these results were not presented in detail. However, in the Québec Cardiovascular Study12 as in the Physician Health Study,11 the diagnosis of diabetes was based on medical history and was not verified by fasting plasma glucose measurements or an oral glucose tolerance test. Thus, the prevalence of diabetes was probably an underestimation of the true rate. Therefore, it is possible that in the previous studies, the relation between LDL size and CHD was partly due to type 2 diabetes.
This hypothesis is supported by the finding that the proportion of subjects with type 2 diabetes was 2.4-fold greater among subjects with LDL phenotype B compared with those with LDL phenotype A in the present study. Moreover, diabetes was associated with smaller LDL size, independent of triglyceride and HDL cholesterol concentrations. Even though LDL size was not related to CHD risk in the case-control comparison here, subjects with LDL subclass phenotype B had more adverse cardiovascular risk factors compared with subjects with phenotype A. Thus, small, dense LDL is not a benign lipoprotein phenotype, even in older age.
This case-control study showed that smoking and increased levels of systolic blood pressure and the total cholesterolHDL cholesterol ratio were independent risk factors for CHD among elderly subjects without a previous MI. These results are in line with our previous findings in the whole study cohort,14 with the exception that in the whole study cohort the lipid risk factor was HDL cholesterol. Type 2 diabetes, male sex, and previous MI were also independent predictors of CHD in the whole study cohort.14 In the present study, however, cases and controls were matched for type 2 diabetes and sex. Previous studies have shown that elevated total and LDL cholesterol concentrations continue to be associated with CHD risk in the elderly.35 36 37 38 However, HDL cholesterol and the total cholesterolHDL cholesterol ratio have been stronger risk factors for CHD in older age than is total cholesterol.35 36 39 Blood pressure, particularly systolic blood pressure, has been shown to be a potent risk factor for CHD in older age.40 Although the role of smoking in CHD risk in the elderly has been controversial,36 recent studies have shown that current smoking is an independent risk factor for cardiovascular mortality among subjects aged over 65 years.41 42 Thus, results of the present study and previous studies indicate that the classic cardiovascular risk factors are still important in the elderly.
A limitation of the present study is that there were only 86
subjects who developed CHD during follow-up. This is partly due to the
relatively short follow-up of 3.5 years. In the previous nested
case-control studies on LDL size and CHD, the follow-up period was 5 to
7 years, and the number of cases was 103 to 266.10 11 12
Thus, our study has lower power compared with the previous studies. Our
study had 80% power (
=0.05) to detect a minimum of a 3.4-Å
difference in mean LDL particle size between the controls and CHD
cases. In the Physicians Health Study,11 the difference
in the mean LDL size between controls and cases was 3 Å and in the
Stanford Five-City Project,10 the difference was 5.1
Å (5.2 Å in men and 4.8 Å in women). Thus, our study had enough
power to detect differences in LDL particle size of a similar magnitude
to those seen in previous studies in middle-aged subjects. Our power to
detect differences in the proportion of subjects with LDL
phenotype B (dichotomous approach) was lower. We had enough
power to detect a 16.8 percentage-point difference in the proportion of
LDL phenotype B. This is not too different from the previously
found 14 to 15.5 percentage-point difference in the proportion of
subjects with LDL phenotype B between controls and CHD cases in
middle-aged subjects.10 12 If LDL size were truly
associated with CHD risk in elderly white subjects matched for sex and
diabetes in the present study, one would have expected to see at
least some difference in LDL size between cases and controls. However,
LDL size and the proportion of subjects with LDL phenotype B
were identical among cases and controls. Furthermore, the frequency
distribution of LDL particle size was similar in CHD cases and
controls. In contrast, smoking, systolic blood pressure, apoB
level, and the total cholesterolHDL
cholesterol ratio were significantly associated with CHD
risk both in univariate and multivariate
analyses. In the Stanford Five-City Project, which is the
only previous study in which cases and controls were not matched for
smoking, LDL size and smoking were equally strong risk factors for
CHD.10 Therefore, we believe that our results are not due
to low power of the study but can be explained by examining this
relationship in the elderly and by controlling for the effect of
diabetes.
In conclusion, LDL size was found not to be a predictor of CHD in elderly white subjects matched for sex and type 2 diabetes. In this cohort, smoking and elevated systolic blood pressure, apoB levels, and the total cholesterolHDL cholesterol ratio were independent predictors of CHD events. Our results support the hypothesis that decreased LDL size is mainly associated with premature CHD. Furthermore, it is possible that reduced LDL size contributes to the risk of CHD in elderly subjects with diabetes. Additional data from larger, population-based studies are needed to confirm that LDL particle size is not a major risk factor in the elderly.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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Received January 13, 1999; accepted April 14, 1999.
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