Original Contributions |
From the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics and the Netherlands Institute for Health Sciences, Erasmus University Medical School, Rotterdam (J.G. van der B., M.L.B., P.T.V.M. de J., A.H., D.E.G.); the Gaubius Laboratory, TNO-PG, Leiden (J.G. van der B., M.P.M. de M., F.H., C.K.); the Julius Center for Patient-Oriented Research, Utrecht University, Utrecht (J.G. van der B., M.L.B., D.E.G.); the Netherlands Ophthalmic Research Institute, Amsterdam (P.T.V.M. de J.); and the Department of Ophthalmology, Academic Medical Centre, Amsterdam (P.T.V.M. de J.), the Netherlands.
Correspondence to Prof D.E. Grobbee, Julius Center for Patient-Oriented Research, PO Box 80035, 3508 TA Utrecht, the Netherlands.
| Abstract |
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Key Words: cardiovascular disease risk thrombotic tendency HaeIII polymorphism ß-fibrinogen gene -455G/A polymorphism
| Introduction |
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Fibrinogen is related to both preclinical atherosclerosis and to most of the cardiovascular risk factors. To elucidate whether high plasma fibrinogen per se increases the risk for MI, one should study the association of fibrinogen, increased due to a factor not related to MI, with the risk for MI. When such an "independently" raised fibrinogen level is associated with an increased risk for MI, then this indicates that plasma fibrinogen is causally related to the risk for MI. Unfortunately, no intervention to influence plasma fibrinogen level specifically is known. Drugs known to influence fibrinogen levels, such as fibric acid derivatives, also alter many other factors related to the risk of MI.4
An alternative approach is to study genetic markers that are associated with elevated fibrinogen levels. Several polymorphisms in the genes for fibrinogen have been associated with increased plasma fibrinogen, such as the -455G/A polymorphism.5 An individual's genetic status is changed neither by the presence of disease nor by risk factors for the disease. Therefore, we presume that a genetically determined increase in fibrinogen level is independent of other factors related to MI. We propose that if a certain genotype for fibrinogen is associated with an increased plasma fibrinogen level and this increased plasma fibrinogen level causes an increased risk for MI, then that genotype should also be associated with an increased risk for MI.
The A allele of the -455G/A polymorphism in the ß-fibrinogen gene has been associated with increased levels of plasma fibrinogen.6 Whether possession of the A allele is associated with an increased risk for MI is not clear. In two studies, the -455G/A polymorphism was not associated with the risk for MI, but the authors reported that bias in selection of subjects or the weak association between genotype and plasma fibrinogen level might explain the absence of an association.7 8
The present study was conducted to explore whether the A allele of the -455G/A polymorphism in the fibrinogen ß-gene is associated with raised fibrinogen levels on the one hand and with an increased risk for MI on the other.
| Methods |
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Cases (n=150) were selected from the cohort on the basis of the presence of an infarction pattern on the electrocardiogram (ECG) and using the diagnostic classification system of the modular ECG analysis system,10 11 independent of a history of chest pain. Two control subjects per case were drawn from the same 5-year age stratum wherefrom the cases of MI were drawn, and these control subjects constituted a sample of study participants who had no history of cardiovascular disease, ie, no history of MI, angina pectoris, stroke, or abnormal ECG and no peripheral arterial disease (ankle/arm index>0.9). We excluded subjects who were using anticoagulant drugs.
Measurements
All subjects were first visited at their home. Information on
current health status, medical history, drug use, and smoking behavior
was obtained by a computerized questionnaire, which included the Dutch
version of the Rose cardiovascular
questionnaire.12 The home interview was followed
by two visits at the research center. Subjects were not asked to fast
or to refrain from smoking. During the clinic visits, several
cardiovascular risk indicators were determined. Height
and weight were measured, and body mass index was calculated as weight
in kilograms divided by the square of height in meters squared. Sitting
blood pressure was measured at the right upper arm with a random-zero
sphygmomanometer. The average of two measurements obtained on one
occasion was used. Systolic blood pressure at the ankles
(posterior tibial artery) was measured with an 8-MHz Doppler
transducer while the subject was in the supine position with an
adult-size regular cuff just above the
malleoli.13 The ankle/arm index is the ratio of
the systolic blood pressure at the ankle to that at the arm.
Peripheral arterial disease was defined as a
right or left ankle/arm index
0.9. Blood sampling and storage have
been described elsewhere.14 Blood samples were
collected in evacuated tubes containing CTAD (Vacutainers; 0.11 mol/L
citrate, 15 mmol/L theophylline, 3.7 mmol/L
adenosine, and 0.198 mmol/L dipyridamole;
Diatube H, Becton-Dickinson).15 Fibrinogen was
measured as described by von Clauss.16 The
-455G/A polymorphism restriction fragment length polymorphism
of the fibrinogen ß-gene was determined by amplification of the
polymorphic region by polymerase chain reaction, followed by
digestion with the restriction enzyme HaeIII as
described by Thomas et al.6
Statistical Analysis
Means and proportions of cardiovascular risk
factors for men and women were calculated. Because homozygosity for the
A allele was rare and heterozygosity for the
-455G/A polymorphism was also associated with increased levels of
fibrinogen, we combined both genotypes into one group. Subjects
with a genetically increased fibrinogen level, ie, those possessing one
or two A alleles, were categorized as the exposed
group and compared with those homozygous for the G
allele (G/G genotype; the nonexposed
group).
We examined whether increased plasma fibrinogen level was a risk
indicator in our study by comparing the risk for MI for different
levels of fibrinogen by using a logistic regression model with
fibrinogen level as a continuous variable. The number of cases and
control subjects for the exposed and nonexposed groups were determined,
and logistic regression was used to calculate the relative risk
(estimated as the odds ratio) for MI in the exposed compared with the
nonexposed group. To examine the presence of confounding in the study
population, we compared means and proportions of
cardiovascular risk factors for exposed and nonexposed
subjects. Differences were tested with Student's ttest
and Pearson's
2 test. Additional adjustments
for the established cardiovascular disease risk factors
that might confound the association were made by adding them to the
logistic model.
To examine the potentially modifying effects of age, sex, smoking behavior, body mass index, serum total and HDL cholesterol, and systolic and diastolic blood pressure on the association between the -455G/A polymorphism and the risk for MI, we stratified the study population of men and women by age categories (cutpoint at 75 years); in current smokers (subjects who answered the question "Do you smoke?" with "yes") versus nonsmokers (former and never-smokers); and according to increasing levels of body mass index (cutpoints at 25 and 27 kg/m2), systolic blood pressure (cutpoints at 130 and 145 mm Hg), total cholesterol (cutpoints at 5.5 and 7.0 mmol/L), and HDL cholesterol (cutpoints at 1.0 and 1.5 mmol/L).
| Results |
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Plasma fibrinogen level was higher in the subjects carrying one or two
A alleles compared with those homozygous for the
G allele: 3.8 g/L (95% confidence interval [CI],
3.6 to 3.9) and 3.6 (3.5 to 3.7), respectively. The association between
fibrinogen and the presence of the A allele was
restricted to control subjects and nonsmokers (Table 2
). Fibrinogen level was associated with
the risk for MI; this risk increased by 45% for each 1 g/L increase in
fibrinogen level (odds ratio, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.12 to 1.88).
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Among the 139 cases, 86 subjects (62%) were homozygous for the
G allele. Similarly, among the 287 control
subjects, 183 subjects (64%) were homozygous for the G
allele. The risk for MI was not different for A
allele carriers compared with nonA
allele carriers (Table 3
). To
check whether the genetic status was associated with other
cardiovascular disease risk factors (confounders), we
compared these risk factors across genetic categories (Table 4
). The G/G
genotype was associated with somewhat higher total serum
cholesterol levels, higher HDL cholesterol
levels, and possibly also with a lower proportion of smokers and a
somewhat higher systolic and diastolic blood
pressure. Additional adjustments for smoking behavior, total and HDL
cholesterol, and systolic and diastolic
blood pressure did not substantially change the association between the
polymorphism and the risk for MI (Table 3
).
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Because the association between the presence of the A allele and plasma fibrinogen level was restricted to nonsmokers, we examined the association between the presence of the A allele and MI in nonsmokers (102 cases and 241 control subjects). The association did not substantially differ from the overall results: odds ratio after adjustment for age and sex, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.56 to 1.53.
No evidence for an effect modification of the association between the
-455G/A polymorphism and the risk for MI by age, sex, body mass
index, serum total cholesterol, serum HDL
cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, or
diastolic blood pressure was observed. Results for age,
sex, and smoking behavior are presented in Table 5
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| Discussion |
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To appreciate these findings, some aspects of the study design need to be discussed. To address our etiologic question, we performed a population-based, case-control study. Cases of nonfatal MI and control subjects were drawn from one large, single-center study. All subjects participating in the study were white, and allele frequencies were similar to those reported by others.6 The observed distribution of genotypes was identical to the expected distribution (Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium) in cases as well as control subjects. Also, allele frequencies for each genotype were similar in case and control groups. This confirms that case and control subjects originated from the same source population and provides support for the absence of an association between the -455G/A polymorphism and MI. A source of bias in a cross-sectional design might be that the risk profile of cases has changed after their MI. Because the aim of the present study was primarily to investigate the influence of possession of the A allele on the risk for MI, this potential source of bias does not play a role. Plasma fibrinogen level may be different after an MI, but genotypes are not changed by an infarct. Finally, by virtue of its design, a cross-sectional study is limited to nonfatal cases of MI. If the A allele were associated with an increased proportion of fatal cases of MI, then we would underestimate the true risk for MI associated with possession of the A allele. To examine whether the A allele is associated with an increased proportion of fatal cases of MI, a longitudinal study is needed.
Assessment of causality of the association between fibrinogen and risk for MI has been difficult. Fibrinogen, as an acute-phase protein, is strongly associated with (preclinical) atherosclerosis and also with a number of cardiovascular risk factors, notably smoking.17 18 19 Therefore the link between fibrinogen and cardiovascular events may have been due to the association of fibrinogen with these other factors. Examining the association between a determinant of fibrinogen that is independent of these other factors and the risk for MI provides an estimate of the association between fibrinogen and MI that is unbiased with respect to the other determinants of fibrinogen. Our "independent determinant" of plasma fibrinogen was the -455G/A polymorphism. Nevertheless, the question remains whether fibrinogen measurement with the clotting ratebased method as described by von Clauss is specific enough to determine the association between plasma fibrinogen and the risk for MI. At least three molecular forms of fibrinogen have been identified, which may have different effects on the risk for MI.20 Recent studies on fibrates and ticlopidine have shown reductions in fibrinogen, as measured with a functional clotting ratebased method, but unchanged fibrinogen molecular mass values.21 We cannot exclude the possibility that the increase in fibrinogen level due to the -455G/A polymorphism reflects a form other than the "risk-carrying" form of fibrinogen.
Quantitative studies in humans are, by their nature, limited in
precision, and it is never possible to achieve the degree of control
possible in a laboratory. Perhaps the most persuasive evidence to
support a judgment of a cause-effect relationship arises when a number
of studies show similar results. The association between the -455G/A
polymorphism and MI has been studied in two other
studies.5 7 8 In both studies, this
polymorphism was associated with plasma fibrinogen levels but not
with the risk for MI. Results of these studies are presented in
Table 6
. Thus, although it is difficult
to prove the absence of an association, three studies that show the
same absence of association suggest that an increased fibrinogen level
due to the presence of the A allele is truly not
associated with the risk for MI.
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Stratified analyses did not support the presence of modification of the strength of the (absent) association for any of the factors mentioned. It remains possible that some unknown factor modifies the effect of possession of the A allele on the risk for MI. Still, one expects an overall trend to an increase in risk for MI. As the risk for nonfatal MI did not even tend to be increased in the A allele carriers, we presume that possession of the A allele is not associated with an increased risk for nonfatal MI.
The association between the -455G/A polymorphism and plasma fibrinogen was not found in current smokers, nor in cases with a history of MI. A possible explanation for this is that in smokers and in cases, other factors increase the fibrinogen level and thereby obscure the contribution of the A allele. In the ECTIM Study, the association between the -455G/A polymorphism and fibrinogen level was, however, more pronounced in smokers and in cases.5 A difference between the ECTIM Study and our study is that in our study, smoking status and fibrinogen level were assessed at the same time, whereas in the ECTIM Study, blood samples were taken 3 to 9 months after the MI and cigarette consumption was defined as the daily consumption just before the event.
For clinical practice the question of causality is important. The role of fibrinogen as an indicator for an increased risk for MI is well established. Our finding suggests that directly lowering fibrinogen levels may not decrease the risk for MI. Increased plasma fibrinogen level may, however, change after reductions in risk by other measures.
In conclusion, the finding that, in our population of men and women aged 55 years and over, the A allele of the -455G/A polymorphism in the fibrinogen ß-gene is associated with increased plasma fibrinogen levels but not with an increased risk for MI does not support the view that this increased plasma fibrinogen level is causally related to the risk for MI.
| Acknowledgments |
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Received February 5, 1996; accepted November 25, 1997.
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