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From the Division of Clinical Epidemiology (B.D.M., R.V., M.P.S.), Department of Medicine, University of Texas Health Science Center, San Antonio, the Centro de Estudios en Diabetes (C.G.V., B.A.P., M.S.G.), The American British Cowdray Hospital, Mexico City, and the Servicio de Endocrinología (C.G.V.), División de Medicina, Hospital de Especialidades, "Dr. Bernardo Sepúlveda," Centro Médico Nacional, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.
Correspondence to Braxton D. Mitchell, PhD, Department of Genetics, Southwest Foundation for Biomedical Research, PO Box 28147, San Antonio, TX 78228-0147. E-mail bmitchel@darwin.sfbr.org.
| Abstract |
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Key Words: myocardial infarction cardiovascular disease epidemiology Mexico Mexican American
| Introduction |
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The baseline phase of the Mexico City Diabetes Study has now been completed. The goal of this article is to describe the prevalence of CVD as documented by electrocardiogram (ECG) and by self-reported heart attack in this population as well as to update our findings regarding the prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors. These results are compared with those obtained from a comparable survey conducted among low-income Mexican Americans in San Antonio, Tex.
| Methods |
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All participants were asked to fast for at least 12 hours prior to the examination. Subjects reporting that they had not fasted were rescheduled to be examined on another day. Blood samples were collected in both the fasting state and 2 hours after a standardized 75-g oral glucose load.3 Serum samples were centrifuged, divided into aliquots, and stored at -70°C. At approximately 4- to 6-week intervals, serum was shipped in dry ice to the Division of Clinical Epidemiology laboratory at the University of Texas Health Science Center, where concentrations of glucose, insulin, cholesterol, and triglycerides were determined.4 5
Diabetes was diagnosed on the basis of a 2-hour oral glucose tolerance test by using the plasma glucose criteria of the World Health Organization.3 Individuals who did not meet the plasma glucose criteria were also considered to have diabetes if they reported a history of diabetes and were currently taking either insulin or oral antidiabetic agents.
Height and weight were measured with the participant having removed his or her shoes and upper garments. Body mass index (BMI) was calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared. The ratios of the waist to hip circumferences and the subscapular to triceps skin folds were measured as indicators of body fat distribution. Systolic and diastolic (5th phase) blood pressure was measured in the sitting position by using a random-zero sphygmomanometer.
Subjects were asked if they had ever been told by a physician that they
had sustained a heart attack. Standard 12-lead ECGs were obtained from
all subjects and analyzed by the ECG Coding Laboratory of the
University of Minnesota according to the Minnesota Code
criteria.6 Tracings were then classified on the basis of
their Q and QS patterns as definite, possible, or unlikely myocardial
infarction (MI). Definite MI included pathological Q and QS patterns
(all 1.1 codes) and prominent Q and QS patterns accompanied by negative
T waves (all 1.2 codes accompanied by codes 5.1 or 5.2, with the
exception of 1.2.6 and 1.2.8). Possible MI included minor Q and QS
patterns (all 1.3 codes and codes 1.2.6 and 1.2.8), and unlikely MI
included all other codes. Internal quality control of ECG coding is
conducted at the ECG Coding Laboratory, where samples of ECGs are
periodically recirculated for recoding. The agreement across lead
groups between independently coded ECGs is excellent as judged by a
statistic ranging from .86 to .92.7
The prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors and MI in Mexico City was compared with that in Mexican Americans from San Antonio, Tex. The San Antonio population consisted of Mexican Americans who had participated in the baseline survey of the San Antonio Heart Study (SAHS) between 1979 and 1988. The sampling methodology for the SAHS was identical to that described for the Mexico City Diabetes Study in that a random sample of households within selected neighborhoods was deemed eligible for study. The response rate for participants of the SAHS was 65.3%. The prevalence of MI has been described in this population,8 although the present report includes only Mexican Americans who resided in the low-income barrios and were between the ages of 35 and 64 years (n=1143). The median level of education among the Mexican Americans in San Antonio was 7 years, compared with 6 years for the Mexicans in Mexico City. The medical examinations used identical protocols in San Antonio and Mexico City. The ECGs collected from San Antonio were also coded by the ECG Coding Laboratory of the University of Minnesota. ECGs were obtained from 2269 subjects from Mexico City (representing 99.9% of the study population) and 1086 subjects from San Antonio (representing 95.0% of the study population).
The prevalence of MI in Mexico City and San Antonio was estimated by using two different end points: ECG-documented criteria and self-report of a physician-diagnosed heart attack. Because of the relatively small number of confirmed MIs, the "definite" and "possible" categories were combined and considered to be an event.
Cardiovascular risk factors were compared between Mexico City and San
Antonio by using the t test for continuous variables and the
2 test for categorical variables. Because of the
skewed distributions of triglycerides and insulin values, the median
levels of these variables were compared between the two cities by using
the Kruskal-Wallis test. A cardiovascular risk score was calculated for
each subject based on the subject's age, levels of total and HDL serum
cholesterol, triglycerides, systolic blood pressure, diabetes status
(present or absent), level of cigarette smoking (number of
cigarettes smoked per day), and relative weight based on the
Metropolitan Life Insurance Co tables. The equations used to calculate
the cardiovascular risk scores were generated from the Framingham Study
and were kindly provided by Dr Ralph D'Agostino (Boston University,
written communication, 1989). The equations describe the 12- to 14-year
cardiovascular mortality experience of men and women enrolled in the
Framingham Study based on a set of cardiovascular risk factors measured
at baseline. Although these equations do not necessarily predict
cardiovascular mortality in San Antonio and Mexico City, we have used
them to generate a summary measure of cardiovascular risk to facilitate
comparisons between the two populations. We have used the Framingham
risk equations to compare cardiovascular risk profiles between Mexican
Americans and non-Hispanic whites in the SAHS.2
MI prevalence was compared between the two populations by using the Mantel-Haenszel procedure to adjust for age.9 Separate analyses were conducted for men and women. To determine whether city differences were influenced by diabetes status, separate analyses were also conducted for diabetics and nondiabetics. Multiple logistic regression was used to estimate the independent associations of city and diabetes status with MI.10
| Results |
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The mean cardiovascular risk scores for subjects in Mexico City and San
Antonio are shown in Table 2
. In neither men nor women
were there significant differences in the risk scores between Mexico
City and San Antonio.
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Table 3
shows the number of subjects examined and the
number of cardiovascular events observed for each end point. In Mexico
City, 48 individuals had evidence for an ECG-documented MI and 31
reported a history of a heart attack. In San Antonio, there were 47
ECG-documented MIs and 44 histories of a self-reported heart
attack.
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The prevalence of MI in Mexico City and San Antonio is shown in Table 4
. Definite and possible ECG-documented MIs have been
combined into a single end point for this and the remaining analyses.
In men, the prevalence of ECG-documented MI was slightly but not
significantly higher in San Antonio than in Mexico City (5.5% versus
3.2%; P>.10 adjusted for age). However, men in San Antonio
were significantly more likely than men in Mexico City to report a
prior heart attack (6.4% versus 1.1%; P<.001). Among
women, the prevalence of ECG-documented MI was significantly higher in
San Antonio than in Mexico City (3.6% versus 1.3%; P=.002
adjusted for age), although the prevalence of self-reported heart
attack was only slightly higher in San Antonio than in Mexico City
(2.4% versus 1.6%; P>.30).
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As expected, the prevalence of MI was higher in diabetic than in
nondiabetic individuals (Table 5
). The one exception was
for women in Mexico City, for whom the prevalence of both
ECG-documented MI and self-reported heart attack was very low in both
groups. Among diabetic individuals, the prevalence of ECG-documented MI
was at least twice as high in San Antonio as in Mexico City, although
this difference did not quite achieve significance in men (11.8%
versus 5.7%; P=.08). Diabetic men from San Antonio were,
however, significantly more likely to report having had a heart attack
than diabetic men from Mexico City.
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Among nondiabetic men there was virtually no difference in the prevalence of ECG-documented MI between the two cities, although residents of San Antonio had a significantly higher prevalence of self-reported heart attack than did their counterparts in Mexico City. Among the nondiabetic women, there was a nonsignificant excess of MI in San Antonio. In neither sex was there evidence of a cityxdiabetes interaction effect.
The relation between MI and city of residence was estimated by
adjusting simultaneously for the effects of age, BMI, total
cholesterol, HDL-C, triglycerides, systolic blood pressure, and
diabetes through multiple logistic regression. Table 6
shows the odds ratios (ORs) for city and diabetes status obtained
through these analyses. In men, residents of San Antonio were more
likely to have an MI than residents of Mexico City, although these
associations were statistically significant only for self-reported
heart attack (adjusted OR, 6.93; P<.001). Women from San
Antonio were significantly more likely than women from Mexico City to
have an ECG-documented heart attack (adjusted OR, 3.22;
P=.002). After controlling for other cardiovascular risk
factors, diabetes status was associated with MI in men (adjusted OR,
2.2 to 2.3; P<.05) but not women.
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| Discussion |
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The higher prevalence of MIs in San Antonio could be due to several factors. One possibility is that the case-fatality rates following a heart attack could be higher in Mexico City than San Antonio. This could be particularly true for individuals with diabetes, since the city differences appear to be more pronounced for diabetic individuals. Higher case-fatality in Mexico City could result in a lower prevalence in Mexico City, even if the incidence of MI were higher in that city. A second possibility is that the higher prevalence of MI in San Antonio may actually reflect a higher incidence. Prospective studies are currently underway in both populations to measure incidence of MI and to assess mortality among baseline cases.
The cardiovascular risk profile of Mexicans in Mexico City is distinct from that of Mexican Americans in San Antonio. Despite a lower prevalence of obesity and lower levels of total cholesterol, Mexicans in Mexico City have markedly higher levels of triglycerides (median triglyceride levels are 25 to 50 mg/dL higher) and lower levels of HDL-C (mean HDL-C levels are 12 to 13 mg/dL lower). It has been hypothesized that insulin resistance may underlie a syndrome that includes both elevated triglyceride and low HDL-C levels.11 But obesity, diabetes mellitus, and possibly hypertension are also key features of this syndrome, and none of these latter conditions is more common in Mexico City than in San Antonio. Moreover, there are no marked differences in median insulin levels between Mexico City and San Antonio, although fasting insulin levels were slightly higher among women in Mexico City compared with women in San Antonio.
It is surprising that the distribution of body fat appears less favorable in Mexico City than in San Antonio as judged by both a higher waist-to-hip ratio and, in men, a higher subscapular-to-triceps skinfold ratio. Although it is possible that the unfavorable body fat distribution is associated with the dyslipidemia also present in the Mexico City population, we cannot rule out the possibility that the differences might be due to systematic differences between examiners in the measurements of the skin folds and waist-to-hip circumferences. Prior to the start of the Mexico City Diabetes Study, however, training sessions for the Mexico City staff were conducted by the San Antonio staff to minimize the potential for interexaminer measurement bias. Unfortunately, it has been difficult to evaluate the extent to which systematic differences between examiners in the two cities could nevertheless have influenced these comparisons.
If one assumes that the higher prevalence of MI in San Antonio reflects a true difference in the incidence of MI rather than a difference in survival rates, then it is interesting to note that the high triglyceride and low HDL-C levels in Mexico City more or less completely offset the otherwise more favorable cardiovascular risk profile of Mexicans (ie, less diabetes, less obesity, lower total cholesterol, and lower blood pressure), with the result that the net effect of all cardiovascular risk factors, as judged by the Framingham risk equations, was virtually identical in the two cities. One explanation for the lower prevalence of MI in Mexico City despite a similar risk score as San Antonio is that the Framingham risk equations may overestimate the impact of high triglycerides and low HDL-C in Mexico City, ie, that high triglycerides and low HDL-C are somehow less atherogenic in Mexico City than in the United States (or, at any rate, in Framingham). Alternatively, the frequency of other unmeasured cardiovascular risk factors may be higher in San Antonio than in Mexico City.
We have reported striking differences between the diets of these two populations, with the Mexico City diet much lower in fat and higher in carbohydrate than the San Antonio diet.1 12 Thus, we have speculated that Mexicans have carbohydrate-induced hyperlipidemia leading to their high triglyceride-low HDL pattern. Conceivably, the atherogenic potential of this dyslipidemic pattern could be quite different depending on whether it develops in the context of a high-carbohydrate (Mexico) or a high-fat (United States) diet. In this regard, it is interesting to note that high-carbohydrate feeding induces increased secretion of VLDL triglycerides but has no effect on VLDL apoB secretion.13 There is also evidence that the resulting VLDL, rich in triglycerides and relatively poor in apoB, may be less atherogenic than less buoyant VLDL (ie, VLDL with higher apoB/triglyceride ratios).14 15
A strength of the present study is that both the Mexico City and San Antonio study populations were identified through population-based surveys. Moreover, identical protocols were used in the two studies to enhance comparability of results. There are several limitations, however, in using these CVD end points for between-population comparisons. First, ECG tracings may detect silent as well as symptomatic heart attacks. Thus, no conclusions can be drawn about the clinical severity of the MIs observed. Abnormal ECGs may also revert to normal over time so that ECG abnormalities detect only recent events. Self-reported heart attacks, on the other hand, may be more sensitive in identifying symptomatic heart attacks, but some of these reports will also not represent bona fide heart attacks. This end point is also a function of medical care access since it requires a prior physician diagnosis and access to care could vary in the two communities. Finally, it should be noted that it was not possible for this study to validate either of the MI end points through a review of hospital records.
In summary, these data suggest that Mexican Americans in San Antonio experience a higher prevalence of MI than low-income residents of Mexico City. There appear to be, in addition, some striking contrasts in the distribution of cardiovascular risk factors between the two populations, with the Mexico City population having a more pronounced pattern of dyslipidemia despite being leaner than the San Antonio population. These comparisons raise two major questions: is the course of MI similar in these two populations (ie, is case-fatality higher in one population than the other)? And is the atherogenic potential of these risk factors similar in both populations? Prospective data are currently being collected to address these issues.
| Acknowledgments |
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Received December 22, 1994; accepted March 21, 1995.
| References |
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2.
Mitchell BD, Stern MP, Haffner SM, Hazuda HP,
Patterson JK. Risk factors for cardiovascular mortality in
Mexican Americans and non-Hispanic whites: the San Antonio Heart
Study. Am J Epidemiol. 1990;131:423-433.
3. World Health Organization Expert Committee. Second Report on Diabetes Mellitus. Geneva, Switzerland: World Health Organization, 1980. Technical report series No. 646.
4.
Stern MP, Rosenthal M, Haffner SM, Hazuda HP, Franco
LJ. Sex difference in the effects of sociocultural status on
diabetes and cardiovascular risk factors in Mexican Americans: the San
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Haffner SM, Stern MP, Hazuda HP, Rosenthal M, Knapp
JA. The role of behavioral variables and fat patterning in
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6. Rose GA, Blackburn H, Gillum RF, Prineas RJ. Cardiovascular Survey Methods. 2nd ed. Geneva, Switzerland: World Health Organization; 1982:125-143.
7. Crow RS, Prineas RJ, Jacobs DR Jr, Blackburn H. A new epidemiologic classification system for interim myocardial infarction from serial electrocardiographic changes. Am J Cardiol. 1989;64:454-461. [Medline] [Order article via Infotrieve]
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9. Mantel N, Haenszel W. Statistical aspects of the analysis of data from retrospective studies of disease. J Natl Cancer Inst. 1959;22:719-748.
10. Dallal GE. LOGISTIC: a logistic regression program for the IBM PC. Amer Statistician. 1988;42:272.
11. Reaven GM. Role of insulin resistance in human disease: Banting Lecture 1988. Diabetes. 1988;37:1595-1607. [Abstract]
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15. Brunzell JD, Albers JJ, Chait A, Grundy SM, Groszek E, McDonald GB. Plasma lipoproteins in familial combined hyperlipidemia and monogenic familial hypertriglyceridemia. J Lipid Res. 1983;24:147-155.[Abstract]
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